PolyBot

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Traders

Valerac

0x530486ddfbf50e6d5514f5503d73d380a2fb13e8

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$131.7k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$7.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4020.105$5.22$14.78
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.1740.004$1.81$76.96
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch? · Yes0.5150.000$0.00$397.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00$5.00
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner · PARIVISION0.2530.000$0.00$140.00
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner · Team Spirit0.2600.000$0.00$300.00
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No0.4470.000$0.00$988.38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Vici Gaming0.0600.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.3840.000$0.00$8.28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$6.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Xtreme Gaming0.4180.000$0.00$61.41
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex0.1130.000$0.00$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$27.73
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? · No0.2640.000$0.00$150.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 13:16Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.4544443911$189.35
08-23 13:06Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.2399999986$100.00
08-23 13:05Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.7$448.35
08-23 13:02Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4683851637$300.00
08-23 12:56Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.58$428.90
08-23 12:31Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3099999995$229.24
08-23 11:22Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2299999986$100.00
08-23 11:16Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2599999985$100.00
08-23 11:14Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2994836901$100.00
08-23 10:17Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.01$1.00
08-23 10:16Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.04$10.00
08-23 10:13Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.2$11.11
08-23 10:09Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.179999987$10.00
08-23 10:08Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.5$131.58
08-23 10:06Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.59$28.17