0x52f6a5e9cbca394be02a02947e164a7b6d2696b7
0x52f6a5e9cbca394be02a02947e164a7b6d2696b7
- Realised P&L
- $1.00
- Volume
- $238.22
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $2.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? · Down | 0.740 | 0.810 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · No | 0.420 | 0.270 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · No | 0.610 | 0.185 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.070 | $0.17 | −$0.82 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.40at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 01:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:10 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 08:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:55 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:13 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:38 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2306140098 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 23:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:59 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |