leangreens
0x52f4c5f8dd0ab07f37f702d0ceaba3c6d4c02dd3
- Realised P&L
- $-688.83
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 758
- Open portfolio
- $8.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded758
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in September? · No | 0.790 | 0.835 | $5.29 | +$0.28 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.420 | $2.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.26at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$27.43at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$25.93at 0.096Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$25.01at 0.324Solana Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$23.81at 0.201Solana Up or Down - March 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:41 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $5.30 |
| 09-16 04:41 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.944 | $5.36 |
| 09-16 04:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.19 |
| 09-16 04:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.38 |
| 09-16 04:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $5.54 |
| 09-14 13:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.73 |
| 07-28 08:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.58 |
| 07-05 12:18 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway? | BUY | 0.119999996 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $15.18 |
| 07-01 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-01 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3259965517 | $9.45 |
| 07-01 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $8.67 |
| 07-01 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $9.69 |
| 07-01 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $17.55 |
| 07-01 16:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.60 |