Tys0n8686
0x52ed504e3c3c7cfceaa61dc4f23a6e29d79f8db7
- Realised P&L
- $86.2k
- Volume
- $9.11M
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.385 | $3.1k | +$280.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-09-01? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.06 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$279.99 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$297.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.4kat 0.440Hawks vs. Heat
- +$23.5kat 0.335Kings vs. Raptors
- +$9.5kat 0.367Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- +$8.0kat 0.416Lakers vs. Mavericks
- +$7.1kat 0.429Trail Blazers vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:12 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.48 | $408.17 |
| 09-19 16:58 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-19 10:07 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-18 13:39 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | SELL | 0.71 | $712.39 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.4 | $4.1k |
| 09-17 16:52 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.45 | $256.04 |
| 09-17 12:47 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.42 | $67.15 |
| 09-17 11:58 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.42 | $1.7k |
| 09-17 11:47 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.49 | $249.97 |
| 09-16 17:53 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.4k |
| 09-16 17:33 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.4k |
| 09-15 18:32 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.1k |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.52 | $489.59 |
| 09-15 17:35 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.9k |
| 09-14 13:51 | Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.6 | $101.58 |