Tys0n8686
0x52ed504e3c3c7cfceaa61dc4f23a6e29d79f8db7
- Realised P&L
- $81.4k
- Volume
- $8.23M
- Markets traded
- 581
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded581
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.705 | $1.1k | +$25.63 |
| Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty · Seattle Storm | 0.177 | 0.185 | $206.02 | +$8.62 |
| Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) · Deportivo Toluca FC | 0.440 | 0.475 | $79.91 | +$5.89 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.570 | 0.590 | $29.35 | +$0.99 |
| Will NEC win on 2026-08-08? · No | 0.310 | 0.315 | $15.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.373Hawks vs. Heat
- +$8.1kat 0.240Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$2.3kat 0.260Celtics vs. Bucks
- +$2.2kat 0.380Spurs vs. Clippers
- +$1.5kat 0.499Spread: Senegal (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:06 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.57 | $23.63 |
| 08-04 07:03 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.18 | $41.66 |
| 08-04 07:02 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.17 | $51.84 |
| 08-03 16:45 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.69 | $822.39 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $55.00 |
| 08-03 15:38 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.68 | $209.41 |
| 08-01 14:58 | Will SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.53 | $23.78 |
| 08-01 14:02 | Will SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.9k |
| 08-01 09:11 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.58 | $27.26 |
| 08-01 09:11 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.42 | $39.98 |
| 07-30 08:10 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.54 | $25.38 |
| 07-29 14:53 | Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings | SELL | 0.52 | $99.49 |
| 07-29 05:21 | New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.61 | $18.76 |
| 07-26 14:08 | Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26? | SELL | 0.52 | $197.73 |
| 07-26 11:42 | Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-26? | SELL | 0.28 | $217.96 |