0x52E80aEA26B30dFbc37EeF80e9cd8b1723cB4B41-1778393649180
0x52e80aea26b30dfbc37eef80e9cd8b1723cb4b41
- Realised P&L
- $97.12
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $144.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.835 | $143.97 | +$43.97 |
| Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.008 | $0.31 | −$9.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.21at 0.689Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$21.67at 0.580Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$0.99at 0.836Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$0.85at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$0.79at 0.084Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:26 | Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2603231537 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 20:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.08 |
| 05-22 18:11 | Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $107.49 |
| 05-21 05:20 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 20:43 | Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.1026532984 | $6.27 |
| 05-19 19:05 | Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1636726436 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 19:05 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.711530525 | $124.82 |
| 05-18 18:16 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 19:22 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.87 |
| 05-10 17:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999908 | $9.00 |
| 05-10 17:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8358042505 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 15:04 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |