0x52d9770483bde2ba498a5869d5540d47818bbb00
0x52d9770483bde2ba498a5869d5540d47818bbb00
- Realised P&L
- $-79.51
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $6.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.340 | 0.750 | $2.21 | +$1.21 |
| Browns vs. Jets · Browns | 0.450 | 0.445 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Bills | 0.390 | 0.385 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Raiders vs. Patriots · Raiders | 0.380 | 0.375 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars · Eagles | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.62at 0.160Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$14.79at 0.223Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$6.30at 0.002Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.77at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$-0.19at 0.078Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:42 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:41 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:41 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:38 | Bucky Irving: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:37 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:37 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 10-07 09:21 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 09-09 18:39 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.38 |
| 07-20 14:02 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0079462831 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 14:00 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.85 |
| 07-20 13:59 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0059999968 | $1.85 |
| 07-20 13:58 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.83 |
| 07-20 07:36 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 07:35 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 07-14 19:37 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |