Ballotglass
0x52d6b7882c56c47673f9ffd36d978dfe0c6451e3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.13
- Volume
- $529.09
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $141.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.40at 0.730US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
- +$6.46at 0.757Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$6.12at 0.767Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$5.79at 0.777Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$2.04at 0.710Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:26 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 04:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 12:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.73 | $19.99 |
| 09-04 04:14 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 08:40 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 07:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $19.99 |
| 08-30 23:38 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.7661685824 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 06:34 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 08:51 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.73 | $19.99 |
| 08-19 11:20 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 03:16 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.99 |
| 08-16 23:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.85 | $19.99 |
| 08-14 00:26 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 20:24 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.00 |