AxelTapper
0x52cef8963a41b9318b88a4d0b8fdcc0364097f93
- Realised P&L
- $11.32
- Volume
- $907.00
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $40.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $40.20 | +$0.60 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.36at 0.179Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:39 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.10 |
| 09-14 19:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $39.60 |
| 09-06 17:48 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.23 | $80.04 |
| 09-05 18:27 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.19 | $10.07 |
| 08-31 19:18 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.17 | $50.15 |