0x52ceb483f090b14a30d77a91783240a4e6d46c8f
0x52ceb483f090b14a30d77a91783240a4e6d46c8f
- Realised P&L
- $7.61
- Volume
- $158.85
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.775 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.340 | 0.305 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:00 | Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:34 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:13 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:47 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |