789vault
0x52ca7248beafe0094117f9576a4330b649a2e4df
- Realised P&L
- $-40.18
- Volume
- $37.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $281.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.655 | $281.17 | +$66.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.72at 0.500Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.02at 0.999Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.02at 0.997Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 11:13 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.73 |
| 08-24 00:11 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $64.06 |
| 08-24 00:01 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.69 |
| 08-23 23:52 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.03 |
| 08-23 23:44 | Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.76 |
| 08-23 23:35 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.79 |
| 08-23 23:29 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.10 |
| 08-23 23:21 | Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.60 |
| 08-23 23:11 | Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 08-23 23:01 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.50 |
| 08-17 07:33 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $55.24 |
| 08-17 07:27 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $16.98 |
| 08-17 07:16 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.45 |
| 08-17 07:06 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.70 |
| 08-17 07:00 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.90 |