0x52c673cf5ca3fd57307194c8847d6b9c2f6a9aa2
- Realised P&L
- $-97.40
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $9.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $8.40 | −$75.60 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $1.40 | −$23.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.53at 0.973Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$0.15at 0.997Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.12at 0.997Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11?
- +$0.12at 0.998Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11?
- +$0.09at 0.993Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:27 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $25.24 |
| 02-24 03:27 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $24.73 |
| 01-14 02:24 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $112.69 |
| 01-07 06:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.993 | $12.36 |
| 01-07 06:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 01-07 06:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.9979999913 | $60.00 |
| 12-08 06:47 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9973989361 | $55.69 |
| 12-08 06:43 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9729999923 | $55.00 |