thparvej24
0x52bf12a2afc2e161120563352faa8aa251c93e9f
- Realised P&L
- $342.23
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $332.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? · Yes | 0.532 | 1.000 | $272.76 | +$127.62 |
| Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? · Yes | 0.590 | 1.000 | $59.97 | +$24.57 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.41 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.67 |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.54at 0.506Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$81.11at 0.552Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
- +$74.54at 0.401Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$74.34at 0.573Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$60.55at 0.452Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:33 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5699999981 | $48.47 |
| 09-29 17:30 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $48.37 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5 | $48.30 |
| 09-28 17:47 | Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.50 |
| 09-28 17:46 | Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.76 |
| 09-28 17:32 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.589999996 | $48.52 |
| 09-28 17:22 | Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4899999986 | $48.37 |
| 09-28 17:21 | Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5099999994 | $48.33 |
| 09-27 14:32 | Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5799999969 | $48.49 |
| 09-26 17:28 | Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $9.66 |
| 09-26 17:25 | Will Iceland vs. Estonia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4299999981 | $28.88 |
| 09-26 17:25 | Will Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5099999933 | $28.99 |
| 09-26 17:24 | Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5 | $19.32 |
| 09-26 14:52 | Will Slovenia vs. Scotland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.98 | $80.59 |