0x52aeaC66258b466FE4A58cF93aD13b1F9DB03F78-1772273879651
0x52aeac66258b466fe4a58cf93ad13b1f9db03f78
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $42.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.075 | $25.46 | −$4.54 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.065 | $17.16 | −$0.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Up | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.44at 0.082Uruguay leading at halftime?
- +$75.39at 0.286Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$72.60at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$50.02at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$35.34at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:02 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.0883594592 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $4.91 |
| 09-15 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |