duichongtaoli
0x52a5bbae1317bbf5c395d72b506c0712e7d9cc02
- Realised P&L
- $-277.49
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $39.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.992 | $39.66 | +$15.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.29at 0.658Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.700Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
- +$-132.00at 0.132Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
- +$-167.00at 0.570Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 02:08 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.649 | $32.45 |
| 02-06 08:03 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $4.6k |
| 02-06 07:33 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.8k |
| 10-20 06:29 | Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |