PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cryptojonnnny1

0x527f331f29677cadc520208e0b616f7ed54a0ae5

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$46.9k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8600.989$3.0k+$387.00
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5790.987$3.0k+$1.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.980$2.0k+$419.00
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.7350.938$937.50+$202.50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6850.820$816.97+$134.48
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.6810.953$638.65+$182.25
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8900.968$307.01+$24.59
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5430.190$133.02−$247.24
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.5900.875$33.35+$10.86
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5040.049$25.92−$240.68
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3050.026$16.30−$174.89
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$55.00
XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$67.94
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5080.000$0.00−$295.88
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$145.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:13Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0297560306$17.33
10-15 06:13StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.0279069767$4.80
10-15 06:12StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.0232248889$10.45
10-15 06:11StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.0703146667$31.64
10-14 15:31Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1071705$42.87
10-13 07:24StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.54$27.00
10-13 07:10StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.89$282.41
10-13 07:08StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.55$16.50
08-20 16:33Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.6300899731$67.93
08-20 16:13Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.77$50.84
08-20 16:10Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.75$144.44
08-20 15:57Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.23$29.90
08-20 15:57Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.2507692308$32.60
08-20 15:56Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.3$12.00
08-20 15:56Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.3145$62.90