NFLTT
0x527ce0078ca0787eb2d9c603a75c5b9903bdabc2
- Realised P&L
- $283.34
- Volume
- $61.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $342.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$510.00at 0.090Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$272.66at 0.063Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$227.11at 0.132Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$64.00at 0.360Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?
- +$34.07at 0.061Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:50 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.49 | $299.88 |
| 12-19 13:40 | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m? | BUY | 0.0185452662 | $100.00 |
| 12-17 15:45 | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | BUY | 0.0248423573 | $245.37 |
| 05-26 19:26 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.095 | $18.10 |
| 05-26 19:23 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.093 | $0.93 |
| 05-26 19:20 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.092 | $3.86 |
| 05-26 19:08 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.091 | $17.52 |
| 05-26 19:06 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 05-10 13:36 | Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $5.59 |
| 05-10 13:35 | Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $11.70 |
| 05-10 13:32 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.16 | $72.60 |
| 05-10 13:28 | Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.0886 | $8.86 |
| 05-10 13:24 | Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.16 |
| 05-10 13:18 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.064 | $19.58 |
| 05-10 13:16 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.065 | $6.31 |