PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

XC4CVBV

0x5276e0f99f7942884c155245aafcc980a5c00f3f

Realised P&L
$-70.67
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$30.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.002$30.31$87.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-27 13:58Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$37.88
02-27 13:57Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$37.58
02-04 07:31Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.988$121.34
01-28 02:51Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY0.999$121.22
01-20 02:01Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?BUY0.9929999998$21.78
01-20 02:01Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?BUY0.98$97.30
01-13 07:20Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9321729373$111.01
01-08 01:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 10?BUY0.9849999998$46.05
01-08 01:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 10?BUY0.996$64.00
01-07 05:38Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.999$99.90
12-01 05:11Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?BUY0.95$95.00