XC4CVBV
0x5276e0f99f7942884c155245aafcc980a5c00f3f
- Realised P&L
- $-70.67
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $30.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $30.31 | −$87.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.08at 0.932Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$5.00at 0.950Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$1.99at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
- +$0.70at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 10?
- +$0.26at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 13:58 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $37.88 |
| 02-27 13:57 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $37.58 |
| 02-04 07:31 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.988 | $121.34 |
| 01-28 02:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.22 |
| 01-20 02:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $21.78 |
| 01-20 02:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.98 | $97.30 |
| 01-13 07:20 | Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9321729373 | $111.01 |
| 01-08 01:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 10? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $46.05 |
| 01-08 01:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $64.00 |
| 01-07 05:38 | Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 12-01 05:11 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |