0x527417cbb949de73a39d3cfdcf2bb94f16331fe4
0x527417cbb949de73a39d3cfdcf2bb94f16331fe4
- Realised P&L
- $-214.60
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $71.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.085 | $71.01 | −$15.09 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.04 |
| Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka · Ksenia Efremova | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.30 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.31 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.26at 0.271XRP Up or Down - September 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$-11.49at 0.128Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$-27.02at 0.060Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$-34.99at 0.068Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999981 | $14.30 |
| 09-29 14:24 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.86 |
| 09-29 14:23 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0346861683 | $4.66 |
| 09-29 14:22 | Solana Up or Down - September 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1413533835 | $18.80 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $10.77 |
| 09-29 14:16 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $19.05 |
| 09-29 14:14 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $4.65 |
| 09-29 14:11 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5770613966 | $28.99 |
| 09-29 14:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $28.10 |
| 09-29 14:08 | XRP Up or Down - September 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.9255424308 | $89.32 |
| 09-29 14:06 | XRP Up or Down - September 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2563713605 | $24.74 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $37.52 |
| 08-13 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.0299661535 | $46.04 |
| 08-13 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.074 | $23.31 |
| 08-08 20:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0543780293 | $12.24 |