abundantdestiny
0x526d8f1d8acda5d86db288cbc93059656ecfc2a3
- Realised P&L
- $-58.38
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $137.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.605 | $137.42 | −$21.58 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.03 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.598 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.27 |
| New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros · New York Yankees | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.300Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 25?
- +$2.53at 0.527Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$2.30at 0.547Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$2.22at 0.587Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$2.19at 0.637Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 02:20 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4599998557 | $1.02 |
| 10-04 01:13 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $2.10 |
| 10-04 01:05 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.50 |
| 10-03 06:25 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6999999991 | $159.00 |
| 05-07 23:25 | Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 22:55 | Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.209999888 | $1.20 |
| 05-07 18:29 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.3 | $1.89 |
| 05-06 19:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 17:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.139999909 | $1.20 |
| 05-05 23:54 | Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.0699999389 | $1.02 |
| 05-05 23:27 | Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 23:24 | Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 19:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.08 | $1.02 |
| 05-03 16:28 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.7199999435 | $1.02 |
| 04-30 18:02 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.119999905 | $1.01 |