PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HomeRunHazard

0x5268527977f700f9bf9b6d5cd843859e4e70135d

Realised P&L
$2.50M
Volume
$319.15M
Markets traded
32,270
Open portfolio
$492.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded32,270
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · Baltimore Orioles0.4971.000$36.7k+$18.4k
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Kansas City Royals0.5220.925$25.1k+$10.9k
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.4970.880$23.2k+$10.1k
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs0.9031.000$20.0k+$1.9k
Spread: BAL (-8.5) · BAL0.4960.495$18.8k$33.08
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under0.4540.345$16.8k$5.3k
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks0.4780.475$16.1k$111.73
Spread: SF (-12.5) · MIA0.4980.505$15.6k+$227.16
Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova · Kayla Day0.3730.385$12.2k+$385.47
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 · Under0.7031.000$11.6k+$3.4k
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners0.5270.565$11.2k+$756.18
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Arizona Diamondbacks0.5170.605$10.7k+$1.6k
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Over0.6480.670$10.2k+$332.99
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5) · New York Mets0.7201.000$9.7k+$2.7k
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) · Texas Rangers0.8520.965$9.5k+$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:21Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.84$743.40
09-17 02:18Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.65$19.57
09-17 02:18Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.06$15.00
09-17 02:18Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.0195914587$24.39
09-17 02:17Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.58$151.03
09-17 02:15KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia TigersBUY0.61$18.30
09-17 02:15Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.85$68.00
09-17 02:13Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.7$277.49
09-17 02:11Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.69$55.20
09-17 02:09Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.63$160.02
09-17 02:08Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5BUY0.44$4.2k
09-17 02:08Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)BUY0.52$3.5k
09-17 02:08Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5BUY0.43$372.37
09-17 02:08Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)BUY0.387035559$3.8k
09-17 02:08Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)BUY0.4889726731$4.8k