HomeRunHazard
0x5268527977f700f9bf9b6d5cd843859e4e70135d
- Realised P&L
- $2.50M
- Volume
- $319.15M
- Markets traded
- 32,270
- Open portfolio
- $492.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded32,270
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · Baltimore Orioles | 0.497 | 1.000 | $36.7k | +$18.4k |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Kansas City Royals | 0.522 | 0.925 | $25.1k | +$10.9k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.497 | 0.880 | $23.2k | +$10.1k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.903 | 1.000 | $20.0k | +$1.9k |
| Spread: BAL (-8.5) · BAL | 0.496 | 0.495 | $18.8k | −$33.08 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.454 | 0.345 | $16.8k | −$5.3k |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.478 | 0.475 | $16.1k | −$111.73 |
| Spread: SF (-12.5) · MIA | 0.498 | 0.505 | $15.6k | +$227.16 |
| Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova · Kayla Day | 0.373 | 0.385 | $12.2k | +$385.47 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.703 | 1.000 | $11.6k | +$3.4k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners | 0.527 | 0.565 | $11.2k | +$756.18 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.517 | 0.605 | $10.7k | +$1.6k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.648 | 0.670 | $10.2k | +$332.99 |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5) · New York Mets | 0.720 | 1.000 | $9.7k | +$2.7k |
| Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.852 | 0.965 | $9.5k | +$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.4kat 0.440National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally
- +$119.6kat 0.427Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$102.9kat 0.590Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
- +$81.0kat 0.339San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5
- +$80.4kat 0.532Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:21 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.84 | $743.40 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.65 | $19.57 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.0195914587 | $24.39 |
| 09-17 02:17 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.58 | $151.03 |
| 09-17 02:15 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.85 | $68.00 |
| 09-17 02:13 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.7 | $277.49 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.69 | $55.20 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova | BUY | 0.63 | $160.02 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.2k |
| 09-17 02:08 | Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $3.5k |
| 09-17 02:08 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $372.37 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.387035559 | $3.8k |
| 09-17 02:08 | Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4889726731 | $4.8k |