stevefan1999
0x5266a624416150d9bda7d41b6bae79ecabd9f899
- Realised P&L
- $-42.52
- Volume
- $477.36
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.004 | $0.28 | −$4.72 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.91at 0.110Iran strike on Qatar today?
- +$-4.94at 0.340Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$-6.45at 0.310Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?
- +$-8.18at 0.220Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
- +$-8.33at 0.420BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:28 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 13:23 | BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.67 |
| 10-18 13:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.06 |
| 06-23 23:32 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 23:31 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 23:29 | Iran strike on Qatar today? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.09 |
| 06-23 23:28 | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 23:20 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 06-23 23:20 | Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.55 |
| 06-23 23:19 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.82 |
| 06-23 10:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 10:41 | BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:33 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 06-23 10:32 | Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:27 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |