hilll32
0x526163e0df69af102ccdc77ebac833e5ca51f5f7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.59
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $2.76 | −$0.00 |
| Will Justin Fields start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.45at 0.083Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
- +$3.67at 0.550Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
- +$2.35at 0.360UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.83at 0.650Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
- +$1.80at 0.550Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.76 |
| 09-08 09:54 | Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9869996308 | $1.62 |
| 09-05 00:17 | Will Justin Fields start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.03 |
| 09-05 00:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.19 |
| 08-27 15:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999814 | $2.03 |
| 08-20 07:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9819999947 | $1.86 |
| 08-14 14:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9779997964 | $2.44 |
| 08-04 16:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9829999897 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 16:05 | Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.22 |
| 07-22 10:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9749996701 | $2.66 |
| 07-22 10:01 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.9779995711 | $1.92 |
| 07-14 19:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9739999876 | $1.73 |
| 07-08 20:11 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.30 |
| 05-26 14:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.68 |
| 04-03 05:03 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.70 |