Sharpdfs
0x526060d553fb41a791afa1f01644e62aec3f8f69
- Realised P&L
- $217.33
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $41.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Blues · Blues | 0.570 | 0.565 | $28.25 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.230 | 0.225 | $13.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.23 |
| Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.90 |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · LGD Gaming | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.75 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.47 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner · Kiwoom DRX Challengers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$545.60at 0.500Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$523.81at 0.500Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$295.01at 0.397Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$160.06at 0.500Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$155.74at 0.500Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 12:22 | Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-20 12:22 | Jets vs. Blues | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 10-20 12:19 | Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $51.90 |
| 10-20 12:19 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $13.80 |
| 10-14 11:33 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $46.86 |
| 10-14 11:33 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.69 | $11.73 |
| 10-14 11:33 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 10-14 11:33 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-11 07:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 09-11 07:11 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $69.93 |
| 09-11 07:11 | Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $36.40 |
| 09-11 07:09 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 08-24 05:55 | LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 08-13 03:35 | Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.37 | $25.90 |
| 08-06 03:14 | Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.79 |