PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kentastrof1

0x525538094e601910d1db84095af8d3114eec6e58

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$166.8k
Markets traded
575
Open portfolio
$564.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded575
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8700.865$354.65−$2.05
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.4610.968$96.76+$50.66
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1530.273$57.33+$25.15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6810.205$30.75−$71.44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5320.075$15.04−$91.64
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2080.017$9.90−$115.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 19:56Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.218$2.18
10-27 19:53Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSELL0.999$2.54
10-27 18:35Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.9099999843$2.32
10-27 16:39Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.87$8.70
10-27 16:25Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.0407878$8.16
10-27 14:30Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.89$2.56
10-27 14:27Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.87$174.00
10-27 14:27Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.87$174.00
08-16 20:48Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.34$16.38
08-16 20:47Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsSELL0.85$2.78
08-16 20:13Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsBUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-16 20:13Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BSELL0.999$16.32
08-16 18:46Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.8299999988$13.57
08-16 18:45Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BSELL0.999$13.67
08-16 16:06Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.6099999978$8.35