Kentastrof1
0x525538094e601910d1db84095af8d3114eec6e58
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $166.8k
- Markets traded
- 575
- Open portfolio
- $564.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded575
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $354.65 | −$2.05 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.968 | $96.76 | +$50.66 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.273 | $57.33 | +$25.15 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.681 | 0.205 | $30.75 | −$71.44 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.075 | $15.04 | −$91.64 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.017 | $9.90 | −$115.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.60at 0.685US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
- +$145.12at 0.585Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$128.79at 0.568Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$122.50at 0.430US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$121.66at 0.594US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:56 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.218 | $2.18 |
| 10-27 19:53 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $2.54 |
| 10-27 18:35 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.9099999843 | $2.32 |
| 10-27 16:39 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-27 16:25 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.0407878 | $8.16 |
| 10-27 14:30 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.89 | $2.56 |
| 10-27 14:27 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 10-27 14:27 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 08-16 20:48 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.34 | $16.38 |
| 08-16 20:47 | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.85 | $2.78 |
| 08-16 20:13 | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 20:13 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | SELL | 0.999 | $16.32 |
| 08-16 18:46 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.8299999988 | $13.57 |
| 08-16 18:45 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | SELL | 0.999 | $13.67 |
| 08-16 16:06 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.6099999978 | $8.35 |