kate20260824
0x5251940f4b80b6456a3e8c461f0f14da09dd6719
- Realised P&L
- $132.57
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 1,970
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,970
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) · Wizards | 0.514 | 0.740 | $1.5k | +$450.90 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) · Warriors | 0.550 | 0.580 | $1.2k | +$60.00 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 · Over | 0.549 | 0.290 | $516.40 | −$461.92 |
| Spread: Pacers (-1.5) · Pacers | 0.530 | 0.260 | $399.33 | −$414.69 |
| Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 · Over | 0.523 | 0.120 | $259.72 | −$873.24 |
| Spread: England (-2.5) · Czechia | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) · North Macedonia | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$854.00 |
| Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$613.00 |
| Estonia vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.492Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?
- +$732.89at 0.582Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
- +$674.42at 0.602Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5
- +$549.05at 0.542Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
- +$447.58at 0.552Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:49 | 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 | BUY | 0.5494046128 | $978.32 |
| 10-10 14:47 | Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5145491 | $1.0k |
| 10-10 14:46 | Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 10-10 13:15 | Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $551.33 |
| 10-10 12:52 | Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $41.64 |
| 10-10 11:30 | Spread: Pacers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $178.02 |
| 10-10 11:29 | Spread: Warriors (-4.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $606.33 |
| 10-10 11:06 | Spread: Pacers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $96.33 |
| 10-09 20:54 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $636.00 |
| 10-09 17:31 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-08 23:50 | Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 10-06 17:45 | Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4599999998 | $854.00 |
| 10-06 17:44 | Spread: England (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 16:50 | Estonia vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $1.0k |
| 10-06 15:44 | Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $1000.00 |