0x525075935e854553000b33f281987cf0925ab975
0x525075935e854553000b33f281987cf0925ab975
- Realised P&L
- $72.21
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $402.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs · Aurora Gaming | 0.430 | 0.285 | $375.58 | −$191.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.829 | $26.55 | +$19.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.23at 0.234Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$4.26at 0.149Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16?
- +$2.67at 0.243Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?
- +$2.04at 0.332Spread: Magic (-2.5)
- +$1.48at 0.212Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:00 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:59 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:59 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:57 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:57 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:56 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:55 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:54 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:54 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:53 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:53 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:51 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |
| 10-18 10:49 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $9.77 |