opoiia
0x524eb1a6e2d11f9e03224daefa779efc8328eefe
- Realised P&L
- $-8.66
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $140.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $83.15 | +$0.08 |
| Will BNB dip to $300 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $37.01 | +$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.998Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
- +$0.40at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.40at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
- +$0.33at 0.994Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
- +$0.27at 0.995Will Solana reach $160 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.07 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will BNB dip to $300 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.97 |
| 08-28 12:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.96 |
| 08-28 12:58 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.57 |
| 07-22 12:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.25 |
| 07-22 12:23 | Will XRP reach $1.70 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9989999958 | $71.63 |
| 07-22 12:23 | Will Solana reach $120 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.31 |
| 07-22 12:20 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.40 |
| 06-30 14:14 | Will Solana reach $90 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.88 |
| 06-30 14:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.50 |
| 06-04 08:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $142.85 |
| 06-04 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.9989999814 | $51.00 |
| 06-04 08:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 05-30 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.44 |