PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elizabethhopkins

0x524cf450f07a36cf7feaa22b676e6b8d1cc42785

Realised P&L
$-15.13
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$36.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.8400.950$19.46+$2.25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 7? · No0.6401.000$17.27+$6.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 19:39Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 7?BUY0.64$11.05
01-31 14:03Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$10.87
01-30 16:08Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.9969999999$6.81
01-30 15:43Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.998$16.79
01-30 15:01Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$23.41
01-30 13:06Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$80.96
12-30 15:13Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$2.52
12-30 14:53Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.9979999456$8.37
12-30 13:12Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$12.14
12-30 00:58Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9979999848$12.18
12-30 00:36Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?BUY0.999$21.68
12-29 22:04Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999972$26.90
12-29 19:32Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.998$53.29
10-31 15:58Will Solana dip to $150 in October?BUY0.9989999409$14.15
10-31 15:47Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.9989999881$18.76