elizabethhopkins
0x524cf450f07a36cf7feaa22b676e6b8d1cc42785
- Realised P&L
- $-15.13
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $36.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.950 | $19.46 | +$2.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 7? · No | 0.640 | 1.000 | $17.27 | +$6.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.83at 0.630Will Solary win WSCI 2026?
- +$0.81at 0.320Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$0.59at 0.981Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.43at 0.338Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$0.29at 0.990Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $11.05 |
| 01-31 14:03 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.87 |
| 01-30 16:08 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $6.81 |
| 01-30 15:43 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.79 |
| 01-30 15:01 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.41 |
| 01-30 13:06 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.96 |
| 12-30 15:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.52 |
| 12-30 14:53 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999456 | $8.37 |
| 12-30 13:12 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.14 |
| 12-30 00:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999848 | $12.18 |
| 12-30 00:36 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.68 |
| 12-29 22:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999972 | $26.90 |
| 12-29 19:32 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $53.29 |
| 10-31 15:58 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999409 | $14.15 |
| 10-31 15:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999881 | $18.76 |