murrrka
0x524b51143faffce8406fd1a99703b58bf58d73a2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $74.7k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.02 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Kasımpaşa SK vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$506.82 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.62 |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 5.5 Corners · Over | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$395.10 |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
| Kosner Baskonia vs. Besiktas · Kosner Baskonia | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.02 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$551.71 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.73 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$582.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.38at 0.477Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
- +$424.49at 0.555SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
- +$292.82at 0.765Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$263.26at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$259.85at 0.502Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.3186307848 | $88.43 |
| 10-09 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.4209495831 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 14:03 | Kosner Baskonia vs. Besiktas | BUY | 0.57 | $106.02 |
| 10-09 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $6.52 |
| 10-09 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $73.50 |
| 10-09 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $77.00 |
| 10-09 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.4595454545 | $50.55 |
| 10-09 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.8532095369 | $186.08 |
| 10-09 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4584918544 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 10:26 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.229999999 | $38.00 |
| 10-09 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $10.84 |
| 10-07 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.1438124285 | $11.32 |