PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Samomalo

0x524506fe322ad3e91bd61ba6d12836affc250d45

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$138.5k
Markets traded
530
Open portfolio
$386.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded530
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? · No0.8900.940$188.00+$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.9201.000$100.00+$8.00
Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · No0.9000.981$88.06+$7.27
Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · Yes0.2560.307$6.15+$1.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.8000.840$4.20+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:14Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.0119050597$1.66
09-30 21:09Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.8$4.00
09-30 17:47Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.92$92.00
09-29 17:25Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?BUY0.256$5.12
09-29 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.06$1.20
09-29 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
09-29 12:19Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.0212861333$3.48
09-29 12:18Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?BUY0.9$80.79
09-29 12:17Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?BUY0.89$178.00
09-25 19:22Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?BUY0.9475312$236.88
09-23 11:49Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?BUY0.482$9.64
09-23 11:35Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.9$90.00
09-22 13:27Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?BUY0.8996094868$44.00
09-22 13:26Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?BUY0.88$44.00
09-22 13:24Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.940045$188.01