Samomalo
0x524506fe322ad3e91bd61ba6d12836affc250d45
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $138.5k
- Markets traded
- 530
- Open portfolio
- $386.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded530
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? · No | 0.890 | 0.940 | $188.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? · Yes | 0.920 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · No | 0.900 | 0.981 | $88.06 | +$7.27 |
| Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.307 | $6.15 | +$1.03 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.840 | $4.20 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10PM ET
- +$250.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET
- +$200.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$156.06at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4PM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:14 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0119050597 | $1.66 |
| 09-30 21:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 17:47 | Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-29 17:25 | Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.256 | $5.12 |
| 09-29 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:19 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0212861333 | $3.48 |
| 09-29 12:18 | Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $80.79 |
| 09-29 12:17 | Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 09-25 19:22 | Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.9475312 | $236.88 |
| 09-23 11:49 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | BUY | 0.482 | $9.64 |
| 09-23 11:35 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-22 13:27 | Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.8996094868 | $44.00 |
| 09-22 13:26 | Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-22 13:24 | Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.940045 | $188.01 |