0x523b02aB7FB5716C8aBC4942580Da85ad89A7fB3-1766054678802
0x523b02ab7fb5716c8abc4942580da85ad89a7fb3
- Realised P&L
- $-280.23
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $133.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.630 | $133.51 | −$2.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.941 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.69 |
| Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up | 0.688 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.31 |
| Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.14at 0.479Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
- +$32.54at 0.795Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$30.83at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$26.37at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$22.36at 0.805Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 07:32 | Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.64 | $135.63 |
| 08-09 16:09 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.8715686648 | $120.74 |
| 08-09 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $20.47 |
| 08-09 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.4080633549 | $5.67 |
| 08-09 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $52.58 |
| 08-09 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 08-09 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $7.97 |
| 08-09 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2194863728 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |