poletelg
0x522f566764c682e955276d59dabf8619093c0688
- Realised P&L
- $-281.91
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $113.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.137 | $108.86 | −$302.40 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.175 | $4.67 | −$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.16at 0.766Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$18.77at 0.734Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
- +$14.97at 0.792Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.68at 0.700Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
- +$7.57at 0.740No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 00:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $61.65 |
| 05-21 10:57 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4037495313 | $10.77 |
| 04-22 23:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $74.96 |
| 04-08 14:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 04-08 09:20 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.04 | $0.75 |
| 04-08 09:17 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $9.48 |
| 04-05 15:40 | LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $1.92 |
| 04-05 15:39 | LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $4.95 |
| 04-05 15:12 | LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.359999977 | $4.81 |
| 03-12 01:33 | Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 03-09 00:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.983 | $34.31 |
| 03-08 23:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9739999993 | $34.00 |
| 03-07 21:58 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 21:06 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.02 |