wnchp
0x522803587ab65870ccfd9fba997c16b8730b3801
- Realised P&L
- $-1.59
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $17.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.911 | 0.978 | $8.80 | +$0.60 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.930 | $8.37 | −$0.45 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.961Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.971Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.969Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.981Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:43 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 09-17 10:42 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $8.20 |
| 09-17 10:40 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.82 |
| 09-14 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.96 |
| 09-14 11:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.994216 | $14.91 |
| 09-11 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.91 |
| 09-11 11:38 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $8.87 |
| 09-05 02:12 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $21.85 |
| 09-05 02:09 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-04 15:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.92 |
| 09-01 10:44 | Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 08-30 12:20 | Will White House post 120-139 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 08-30 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $13.90 |
| 08-28 11:53 | Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-28 11:52 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |