ysc2026
0x521df23aa749864a5f38dbb33541122b895255b1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.85
- Volume
- $106.51
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $48.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October? · No | 0.910 | 0.962 | $15.85 | +$0.85 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.971 | $14.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.955 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October? · No | 0.987 | 0.992 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.992 | 0.988 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31? · No | 0.979 | 0.968 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.92at 0.686Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$0.88at 0.775Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$0.84at 0.706Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers
- +$0.08at 0.984Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$-0.39at 0.467Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:35 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.975 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 11:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 11:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 11:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October? | BUY | 0.9869998304 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 07:20 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31? | BUY | 0.9789999977 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 23:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 09:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7499998875 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 00:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 03:13 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.43 | $3.74 |
| 06-04 00:28 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4599999471 | $4.00 |
| 05-20 23:49 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 00:37 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 00:52 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 13:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9839999575 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 10:49 | Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |