Fredwins
0x5217f5f7d689b2fd874d48e10dde9a2702bbae7e
- Realised P&L
- $-978.23
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $101.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.009 | $101.21 | −$815.75 |
| Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? · No | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.01 |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.02at 0.890Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
- +$4.51at 0.904Someone else next Prime Minister of France?
- +$-40.00at 0.011Valérie Rabault next Prime Minister of France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 20:39 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0589729401 | $116.96 |
| 03-15 06:04 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0863741973 | $800.00 |
| 01-18 06:23 | Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? | BUY | 0.1859774098 | $47.01 |
| 09-02 00:09 | Someone else next Prime Minister of France? | BUY | 0.9041760089 | $42.51 |
| 09-02 00:09 | Valérie Rabault next Prime Minister of France? | BUY | 0.0106212102 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 00:07 | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 19:01 | Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $162.00 |