445lksadff3
0x52150fda78ce12e04bf18a28aaa02a2e4e8dc715
- Realised P&L
- $-55.71
- Volume
- $38.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,899
- Open portfolio
- $72.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,899
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.972 | $72.75 | +$47.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.664 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.12at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$36.36at 0.378Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$31.24at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$29.41at 0.378Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$28.90at 0.389Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 16:03 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.3339999929 | $25.00 |
| 04-27 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $1.71 |
| 04-27 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.89 |
| 04-27 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.89 |
| 04-24 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998753 | $1.42 |
| 04-23 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $1.75 |
| 04-23 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $1.84 |
| 04-23 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.89 |
| 04-22 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $1.58 |
| 04-21 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $1.58 |
| 04-21 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $1.86 |
| 04-21 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $1.69 |
| 04-20 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999804 | $1.79 |
| 04-17 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999408 | $1.49 |
| 04-16 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $1.86 |