HotDogChewer
0x520f65a2cb8ddaeabd21f3965350915ffc222d92
- Realised P&L
- $-241.45
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $10.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$82.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$82.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$68.75at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$66.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-08 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-07 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-07 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 10-07 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 12-04 00:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 12-04 00:10 | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 12-04 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 12-04 00:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 12-03 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $14.72 |
| 12-03 23:58 | XRP Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $15.36 |
| 12-03 23:56 | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $15.20 |
| 12-03 23:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $15.04 |
| 12-03 23:45 | XRP Up or Down - December 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 12-03 23:41 | Solana Up or Down - December 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |