cacd233232
0x5202ffc470ae35606455946b81f354e1ff64e6f3
- Realised P&L
- $-417.01
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $497.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.94at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$47.61at 0.167Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$41.12at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$38.09at 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$35.48at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:33 | Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.123216103 | $99.96 |
| 10-08 09:33 | Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0795360124 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 09:32 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1569999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 09:31 | Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | BUY | 0.5232211468 | $250.00 |
| 10-04 01:21 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3499999996 | $96.22 |
| 10-02 12:40 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.36 | $37.89 |
| 07-21 10:40 | Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 07-21 10:39 | Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 07-21 10:39 | Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-20 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 10:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2740351678 | $18.00 |