madaxe
0x51fcc51197d7887d048d96f1306928e962e7333f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $29.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes | 0.767 | 0.225 | $29.33 | −$70.67 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.01at 0.600US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$50.85at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.30at 0.170Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$31.58at 0.760US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$27.23at 0.870China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 22:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $72.38 |
| 06-25 10:30 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.941 | $11.76 |
| 05-13 23:58 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.9094878562 | $627.23 |
| 04-24 09:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $235.29 |
| 03-31 16:44 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $115.51 |
| 03-31 16:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0383239816 | $115.51 |
| 03-31 10:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.4357916603 | $891.75 |
| 03-31 10:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.4259001794 | $300.00 |
| 03-31 10:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.3796659676 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 08:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.2072311281 | $1.3k |
| 03-30 21:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6436469658 | $3.0k |
| 03-30 20:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5784370443 | $806.06 |
| 03-30 20:21 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.7672038331 | $100.00 |
| 03-30 20:07 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 03-30 13:21 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |