PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

madaxe

0x51fcc51197d7887d048d96f1306928e962e7333f

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$24.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$29.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.7670.225$29.33$70.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 22:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$72.38
06-25 10:30Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.941$11.76
05-13 23:58China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.9094878562$627.23
04-24 09:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.2$235.29
03-31 16:44US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$115.51
03-31 16:43Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?SELL0.0383239816$115.51
03-31 10:01Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.4357916603$891.75
03-31 10:00Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.4259001794$300.00
03-31 10:00Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.3796659676$100.00
03-31 08:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?SELL0.2072311281$1.3k
03-30 21:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.6436469658$3.0k
03-30 20:24Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.5784370443$806.06
03-30 20:21Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?BUY0.7672038331$100.00
03-30 20:07Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.5299999983$100.00
03-30 13:21US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.7599999985$100.00