PolyBot

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Traders

Minervavon

0x51f9b7c8f05393f56774ee3c974df8026e1243be

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$239.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.6200.695$239.89+$25.89
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No0.3790.000$0.00−$530.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 13:45Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.89991008$28.12
10-06 05:35Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.064$2.00
10-06 05:342026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.01$1.33
10-06 05:02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.6199999995$214.00
10-06 05:010 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?SELL0.8120435811$171.61
10-06 05:010 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?SELL0.65$42.35
10-03 06:440 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?BUY0.6599999963$43.00
09-11 14:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.35$18.69
09-08 13:420 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.70976483$150.00
09-08 13:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$4.34
05-11 03:47Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?SELL0.0196211754$12.63
05-04 16:29Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.17$32.47
05-04 15:57Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?BUY0.4348746905$280.00
05-04 15:40Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.13$72.69
05-02 06:172026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.389999986$10.00