teknologi
0x51f617130f4257b38ef6e065ba460fb2f574eee7
- Realised P&L
- $-939.90
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21? · No | 0.870 | 0.170 | $3.66 | −$15.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.04at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 12?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 8?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 8?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on September 8?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 12? | BUY | 0.9987576034 | $32.84 |
| 09-07 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.37 |
| 09-07 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.27 |
| 09-07 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.61 |
| 09-07 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.50 |
| 09-07 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.9989999664 | $8.70 |
| 09-07 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.37 |
| 09-07 14:11 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.0k |