PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TrarVic

0x51f52b1b61223d5141115a37b2deec936dcb1839

Realised P&L
$19.74
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$11.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? · Yes0.5600.998$8.91+$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? · Yes0.1100.120$2.18+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-01 01:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-29 01:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.5320196845$10.00
09-28 16:30Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?SELL0.999$5.00
09-28 16:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?SELL0.14$3.10
09-28 13:36Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?SELL0.48$4.80
09-28 13:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.4509704885$10.00
09-28 04:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.66$6.60
09-28 04:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.14$2.98
09-28 03:15Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.325$3.25
09-27 23:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-27 02:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.64$5.00
09-26 15:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.56$2.80
09-26 04:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-25 04:57Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.7399999457$3.00