PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TrarVic

0x51f52b1b61223d5141115a37b2deec936dcb1839

Realised P&L
$5.82
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$1.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4400.450$1.02+$0.02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2430.224$0.92$0.08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:12Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-03 05:12Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.242999836$1.00
08-02 19:36Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
08-02 14:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.88$1.03
08-02 14:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?SELL0.88$1.11
08-02 05:09Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.6349998285$1.00
08-02 05:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-02 05:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.849999915$1.00
08-02 04:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?BUY0.1$1.00
08-01 03:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?BUY0.0559999498$1.00
08-01 03:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?BUY0.04$0.06
07-31 03:51Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 03:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?BUY0.002$1.00
07-30 15:44Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSELL0.99$1.40
07-30 15:36Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.7$0.99