TrarVic
0x51f52b1b61223d5141115a37b2deec936dcb1839
- Realised P&L
- $19.74
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.998 | $8.91 | +$3.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.120 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.88at 0.444Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?
- +$12.84at 0.038Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?
- +$12.17at 0.458Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23?
- +$8.56at 0.544Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?
- +$5.07at 0.667Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5320196845 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 16:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 16:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.10 |
| 09-28 13:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-28 13:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4509704885 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 04:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-28 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.98 |
| 09-28 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.325 | $3.25 |
| 09-27 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 15:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |