TrarVic
0x51f52b1b61223d5141115a37b2deec936dcb1839
- Realised P&L
- $5.82
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.450 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.224 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.89at 0.036Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?
- +$0.50at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$0.48at 0.670Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$0.41at 0.700Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$0.34at 0.730Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.242999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.03 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.11 |
| 08-02 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6349998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.06 |
| 07-31 03:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.40 |
| 07-30 15:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $0.99 |