PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51F250Fa49eC55FdC1A2ec9C2C832F9d6C138623-1761835326754

0x51f250fa49ec55fdc1a2ec9c2c832f9d6c138623

Realised P&L
$-756.45
Volume
$45.7k
Markets traded
1,015
Open portfolio
$131.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,015
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? · No0.2430.205$81.19$15.01
BNB Up or Down - September 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.9901.000$25.25+$0.25
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.9931.000$25.18+$0.18
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting? · No0.9800.000$0.00$78.40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00$24.74
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.9740.000$0.00$9.94
XRP Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00$24.74
Will Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club ABB end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.05
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-05-14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.48
Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$0.71
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-05-14? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · No0.9920.000$0.00$25.00
Will PFK Beroe Stara Zagora win on 2026-05-14? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.50
Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-14? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.33
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.9880.000$0.00$24.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.988$24.88
09-17 01:39Ethereum above 2,440 on September 16, 10PM ET?SELL0.644$6.52
09-17 01:29Bitcoin above 77,000 on September 16, 10PM ET?BUY0.975$9.90
09-17 01:07Ethereum above 2,440 on September 16, 10PM ET?BUY0.978$9.90
09-16 23:49Bitcoin above 76,200 on September 16, 8PM ET?SELL0.617$6.24
09-16 23:16Bitcoin above 76,200 on September 16, 8PM ET?BUY0.978$9.90
09-16 20:19Bitcoin above 76,800 on September 16, 5PM ET?BUY0.977$9.97
09-16 09:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.992$24.98
09-16 07:34Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.99$25.00
09-16 06:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?BUY0.99$1.04
09-16 06:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.99$25.00
09-16 05:47Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.99$25.00
09-15 10:30Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?BUY0.99$25.00
09-15 09:13Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 15?BUY0.993$9.93
09-15 07:45Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on September 15?BUY0.991$10.90