0x51F250Fa49eC55FdC1A2ec9C2C832F9d6C138623-1761835326754
0x51f250fa49ec55fdc1a2ec9c2c832f9d6c138623
- Realised P&L
- $-756.45
- Volume
- $45.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,015
- Open portfolio
- $131.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.14at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17?
- +$63.38at 0.309Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$57.11at 0.381Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$34.35at 0.980Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$34.19at 0.408Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.988 | $24.88 |
| 09-17 01:39 | Ethereum above 2,440 on September 16, 10PM ET? | SELL | 0.644 | $6.52 |
| 09-17 01:29 | Bitcoin above 77,000 on September 16, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 01:07 | Ethereum above 2,440 on September 16, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 23:49 | Bitcoin above 76,200 on September 16, 8PM ET? | SELL | 0.617 | $6.24 |
| 09-16 23:16 | Bitcoin above 76,200 on September 16, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 20:19 | Bitcoin above 76,800 on September 16, 5PM ET? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.97 |
| 09-16 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.992 | $24.98 |
| 09-16 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 09-15 07:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.90 |