user110q
0x51eeacdd2fe40a53577b108c7eb868a9153e2912
- Realised P&L
- $-443.11
- Volume
- $378.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,747
- Open portfolio
- $89.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,747
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 17? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $44.78 | −$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 17? · No | 0.991 | 0.987 | $21.84 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $7.44 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $5.03 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 17? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 17? · No | 0.996 | 0.993 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.97at 0.871Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 7?
- +$68.01at 0.773Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or higher on March 28?
- +$65.89at 0.755Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?
- +$57.45at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?
- +$55.70at 0.877Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 10-16 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-16 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.94 |
| 10-16 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-16 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-16 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16? | SELL | 0.406 | $0.41 |
| 10-16 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.99 |
| 10-16 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.99 |
| 10-16 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9910188916 | $14.99 |
| 10-16 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.3564059878 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $9.99 |
| 10-16 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.465 | $4.65 |
| 10-16 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.44 |