PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x51eb80eb4bf269f0cf7e7fd134ab70d5c300ae86

0x51eb80eb4bf269f0cf7e7fd134ab70d5c300ae86

Realised P&L
$-3.22
Volume
$147.70
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$18.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10? · Yes0.4580.510$4.45+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? · No0.5760.625$3.26+$0.26
Spread: Appalachian State (-9.5) · Appalachian State0.5170.505$2.93−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10? · No0.5200.685$2.63+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10? · No0.8900.870$1.96−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9? · Yes0.6700.985$1.47+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · No0.6600.745$1.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? · No0.8000.735$0.92−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9? · Yes0.5200.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 21:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-09 21:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.8$1.00
10-09 20:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-09 20:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-09 19:40Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-09 19:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
10-09 18:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
10-09 18:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
10-09 17:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
10-09 15:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?SELL0.999$1.19
10-09 15:24Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9?SELL0.999$1.66
10-09 15:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?SELL0.999$1.72
10-09 12:20Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 11:36Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?SELL0.73$3.94
10-09 11:36Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?SELL0.96$1.01