0x51eb80eb4bf269f0cf7e7fd134ab70d5c300ae86
0x51eb80eb4bf269f0cf7e7fd134ab70d5c300ae86
- Realised P&L
- $-3.22
- Volume
- $147.70
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $18.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.510 | $4.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? · No | 0.576 | 0.625 | $3.26 | +$0.26 |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-9.5) · Appalachian State | 0.517 | 0.505 | $2.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10? · No | 0.520 | 0.685 | $2.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10? · No | 0.890 | 0.870 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.985 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · No | 0.660 | 0.745 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? · No | 0.800 | 0.735 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.310Avaí FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 3.5
- +$0.70at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?
- +$0.64at 0.612Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9?
- +$0.48at 0.681Avaí FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 4.5
- +$0.36at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 10-09 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 10-09 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.72 |
| 10-09 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:36 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.94 |
| 10-09 11:36 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.01 |