karlbertiljonsson
0x51d997070de3d335b7861123921372021abab0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-587.04
- Volume
- $49.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,566
- Open portfolio
- $54.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,566
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.56at 0.288Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?
- +$45.74at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8PM ET
- +$44.18at 0.110Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?
- +$25.69at 0.880Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13?
- +$23.78at 0.620Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-10 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-10 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 10-10 00:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 10-09 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.955 | $4.77 |
| 10-09 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 10-09 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.976 | $4.88 |
| 10-09 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 04:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |