PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

karlbertiljonsson

0x51d997070de3d335b7861123921372021abab0ae

Realised P&L
$-587.04
Volume
$49.8k
Markets traded
2,566
Open portfolio
$54.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,566
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 04:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 10?BUY0.98$4.90
10-10 01:08Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.99$4.95
10-10 01:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?BUY0.987$4.93
10-10 00:51Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.989$4.95
10-09 23:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?BUY0.962$4.81
10-09 23:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.989$4.95
10-09 23:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.955$4.77
10-09 22:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.988$4.94
10-09 22:30Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.976$4.88
10-09 22:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.99$4.95
10-09 21:31Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?BUY0.99$4.95
10-09 21:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.99$4.95
10-08 19:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?BUY0.99$4.95
10-08 06:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.99$4.95
10-08 04:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 8?BUY0.98$4.90