0x51cde3e8ddaaf094e44eca7ccf9b3ba83c5fcc0c
0x51cde3e8ddaaf094e44eca7ccf9b3ba83c5fcc0c
- Realised P&L
- $-115.16
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $51.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.640 | 1.000 | $51.54 | +$18.54 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.877 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.49at 0.575Will Iceland win on 2026-10-06?
- +$15.20at 0.665Portugal leading at halftime?
- +$14.94at 0.773Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-09?
- +$12.30at 0.625Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?
- +$10.21at 0.714Manchester United FC leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:14 | Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.64 | $33.00 |
| 10-10 16:50 | Manchester United FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6999999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 15:23 | Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8769999731 | $16.29 |
| 10-10 15:22 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.70 |
| 10-10 15:09 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 13:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8699999966 | $28.44 |
| 10-10 10:14 | Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7326732655 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 06:31 | Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 22:57 | Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8099999917 | $13.66 |
| 10-09 22:48 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.4324003841 | $9.01 |
| 10-09 22:37 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 22:30 | Will Delfin SC win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.51 |
| 10-09 22:12 | Will Delfin SC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7699999965 | $19.62 |
| 10-09 20:33 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7399999952 | $24.52 |
| 10-09 18:53 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6799999823 | $21.49 |