PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x51C8bE2B0E59F5F7C7f8785eA208c5c626B9fb0f-1761309428250

0x51c8be2b0e59f5f7c7f8785ea208c5c626b9fb0f

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$166.0k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$6.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0320.015$6.83$8.17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$11.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$4.00
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$7.00
Will Nathan Butterfield be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
Will Nancy Dyson be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00
Will Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
Will Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00
Will Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
Will Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$4.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:37Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.3296195498$162.54
09-18 10:58Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.2839137557$140.00
09-18 10:57Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.8501176361$274.61
09-01 12:46Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.5399999268$2.95
08-29 06:38Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.001$0.34
08-29 06:38Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0050508347$2.55
08-04 09:42Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0217088429$4.00
08-04 09:42Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.112$3.76
08-01 09:47Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.1189999751$4.00
07-25 12:30Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0437786998$2.00
07-24 15:02Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.050883078$5.00
07-24 15:01Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0279922713$4.00
07-24 15:01Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.654$16.35
07-23 09:56Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.6759999919$1.00
07-23 09:56Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.031$0.62