0x51C8bE2B0E59F5F7C7f8785eA208c5c626B9fb0f-1761309428250
0x51c8be2b0e59f5f7c7f8785ea208c5c626b9fb0f
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $166.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $6.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.036Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?
- +$374.47at 0.500Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$90.74at 0.659Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$80.89at 0.497Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$13.49at 0.292Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:37 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.3296195498 | $162.54 |
| 09-18 10:58 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.2839137557 | $140.00 |
| 09-18 10:57 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.8501176361 | $274.61 |
| 09-01 12:46 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5399999268 | $2.95 |
| 08-29 06:38 | Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.34 |
| 08-29 06:38 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0050508347 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0217088429 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.112 | $3.76 |
| 08-01 09:47 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1189999751 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 12:30 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0437786998 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 15:02 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.050883078 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 15:01 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0279922713 | $4.00 |
| 07-24 15:01 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.654 | $16.35 |
| 07-23 09:56 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6759999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 09:56 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |