0x51c5f1ffc511be046f277354a49df7ed698d647b
0x51c5f1ffc511be046f277354a49df7ed698d647b
- Realised P&L
- $9.02
- Volume
- $366.42
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $9.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.345 | $2.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.835 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.375 | $1.07 | −$0.93 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.045 | $0.36 | −$1.64 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.11 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.88at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 02:18 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:18 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 17:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |