PolyBot

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Traders

0x51c5f1ffc511be046f277354a49df7ed698d647b

0x51c5f1ffc511be046f277354a49df7ed698d647b

Realised P&L
$9.02
Volume
$366.42
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$9.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7301.000$2.74+$0.74
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.2600.345$2.65+$0.65
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7800.835$2.14+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7000.375$1.07$0.93
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.2500.045$0.36$1.64
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.021$0.11$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 18:05Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-20 07:21Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.649999805$2.00
09-19 23:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.25$2.00
09-19 13:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-19 05:49Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-18 21:08Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-18 08:41Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-15 22:54Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
09-14 02:18Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-13 18:18Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-13 09:15Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-13 00:07Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-12 11:13Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-11 13:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-10 17:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00