lianeber
0x51c4543a850a5b40d4d12cdf73821d3b2870f424
- Realised P&L
- $0.66
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $11.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $8.19 | −$136.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $3.56 | −$46.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.882Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.007 | $48.30 |
| 10-29 21:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0099268834 | $68.50 |
| 10-29 19:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0085719715 | $9.29 |
| 10-29 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0087509369 | $7.52 |
| 10-29 19:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.94 |
| 10-29 19:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0072038217 | $2.26 |
| 10-29 19:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0077866951 | $51.03 |
| 10-26 00:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.65 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8819998818 | $5.00 |